We haven’t talked too much about David Tennant’s performance, so let’s do that briefly. He certainly threw himself into the role again, and remains a big name host – by Bafta standards, certainly. But by god, the material he was given tonight was creeeeeaaaky. There was an undercurrent of dad joke running through his opening monologue – and not in an endearing, knowing way. Those shortcoming were brought into relief by the far funnier award introductions from the likes of Stephen Merchant and Simon Pegg. He’s a game host, a willing song and dance man, but he definitely needs more help from whoever’s writing his gags.

So what do tonight’s wins mean for the Oscars? The Baftas tend to be an awards season curio, frequently zagging where other ceremonies zig – and often exhibiting a lot of home-field bias. Still, with the Academy increasingly growing less American and more international, there’s a feeling that its significance in the awards season has grown a little in recent years – and it does still provide a useful platform for anyone wanting to make one final onstage pitch before Oscar voting closes later this week.

So the wins for Adrien Brody, Mikey Madison, Zoe Saldaña and Brady Corbet, whose campaigns seemed to, by various degrees, be flagging in recent weeks, felt significant. And while it’s hard to imagine Conclave performing quite so well with the Academy as it did with Bafta, its wins tonight might encourage a few voters to take a second look. That said, I don’t expect too many of tonight’s results to be replicated on Oscar night – Anora, for one will surely do better overall than it did here – and next weekend’s Screen Actors Guild awards, will surely provide more of a pointer, in terms of where the acting awards are likely to go.

Earlier (see 16:55) Peter Bradshaw, Catherine Shoard, Andrew Pulver and myself all had a stab at predicting this year’s winners. And we did … pretty badly on the whole! Andrew and I got 8/15 correct and Peter got 8/16 (he ended up guessing a few categories that the rest of us swerved, and should get credit for being the only person to opt for Emilia Pérez for best film not in the English language). But the winner, with a pretty respectable 10/15, is Catherine, who was also the only one of us to guess that Brady Corbet would win best director too. Well done Catherine! And eternal shame on the rest of us.

Nadia Khomami has collated the best quotes from tonight’s ceremony in one handy article. My personal highlights? Stephen Merchant’s enjoyably silly intellectual property riff; and a frequently heavy, but also warm and funny Warwick Davis speech.

Why read all about tonight’s Bafta winners when you could look at pictures of them instead? Here’s a gallery of those who triumphed – plus some added Jeff Goldblum, because why not?

Sartorially, this year’s Baftas were an absolute goth-fest, says Guardian fashion writer Lauren Cochrane.

There’s just enough time for Tennant to give a commiseration speech for all of tonight’s unlucky losers before the credits roll. That felt pleasingly brisk – though that might have much to do with some judicious BBC editing, given that the ceremony overran pretty heavily.

Warwick Davis is the winner of this year’s Bafta fellowship, and there’s a lovely segment introducing him, with tributes from George Lucas, Ron Howard and rather movingly, two of his children. Davis lost his wife last year and tearfully remembers her here, thanking his kids for keeping him “engaging in life”. But there’s humour, too: “To anyone out there dreaming of telling their story or creating something meaningful, go for it, the world needs your vision,” he says. “And if you need someone to bring that vision to life, just remember that little fella with the Bafta.”

It wasn’t just Audiard’s Karla Sofía Gascón tribute that was cut from the BBC broadcast (see 20.11): Variety reports that there were several Donald Trump jokes made by Tennant that got cut, too.

Back in the real, non-tape-delayed world, Catherine Shoard has filed her news report of this year’s ceremony. You can read that here if you so wish.

Now for a rather peculiar in memoriam segment, soundtracked for reasons unknown by Jeff Goldblum playing a jazzy As Time Goes By on piano. It rather takes the emphasis off the figures being remembered, who include Shelley Duvall, James Earl Jones, Maggie Smith, Roger Corman, Teri Garr, Donald Sutherland, Joan Plowright and Kris Kristofferson.

Now we’re rattling through a montage of awards deemed not important enough to be shown properly, including sound, production design, score, casting and – interestingly – film not in the English language. I say interestingly because that award went to Emilia Pérez and, as alluded to earlier, featured a speech by Jacques Audiard that paid fulsome tribute to Karla Sofía Gascón. They seem to skip over that detail on the broadcast, but you can read all about it here:

Simon Pegg hands out the outstanding contribution to cinema award to the charity MediCinema, which custom-builds cinemas in UK hospitals. You can read all about their excellent work in Libby Brooks’s piece below.

The actual ceremony has finished now – so anyone who actively wants to be spoiled can find out all the winners here.

In a sop to livebloggers everywhere, the awards firehose is briefly turned off for a musical interlude. It’s Take That, singing Greatest Day, which – unlikely as it sounds – appears in Anora. Gary Barlow and co start their performance in the audience, briefly lingering around Anora’s star, Mikey Madison, who doesn’t look wildly fussed it must be said. Tennant follows it up with some strained Take That-themed banter with Saoirse Ronan and Jack Lowden.

Tennant’s into his monologue now, ribbing the audience who look as if they’ve “all had a shot of the Substance”. This is very dadcore, with groanworthy gags about Dune 2 (“I thought that was called July”) and Chalamet’s acting versatility (“the Tims they are a changing”), but he just about gets away with it. Trump joke count: 1 so far (“speaking of villains …”).

This is your five-minute warning! The TV broadcast of the Baftas is imminent! Bring snacks!

News from Catherine Shoard in the Baftas press room: the ceremony, in time-honoured tradition, is running significantly late. Thankfully this doesn’t affect the TV broadcast or else this live blog would be trundling on into Monday.

In the office we’ve just twigged that it’s not even a new episode of Antiques Roadshow that we’re watching instead of the Baftas: it’s a repeat from 2017! I think it was the interview with a very much not still alive June Brown that tipped us off, keen-eyed journalists that we are.

Great gowns, beautiful gowns … and a bloke in a balaclava mask. Here’s the best of the Baftas red carpet in pictures. (You won’t be shocked to hear that Colman Domingo is far and away the evening’s best dressed man.)

Over at the actual Baftas ceremony that is happening right now, someone has said something newsworthy in their acceptance speech. Of course if I told you who and what, I’d spoil the TV broadcast for everyone, receive hate mail and have to go into hiding. So I won’t do that, but I will just say that if you want to know more you can click on this here news story.

While Bridget Jones 4 was triumphing in the UK, Marvel’s latest Captain America green screen-fest, Brave New World, was bossing it at the global box office. This despite the film being dragged into another tedious culture war, as the Guardian’s Steve Rose explains.

Still no Baftas on the telly, but there is a special edition of Antiques Roadshow from Elstree Studios, so that’s a consolation prize of sorts.

Up for one award tonight is Brazilian drama I’m Still Here which, you might remember, was caught up in the Emilia Pérez hoo-ha after Karla Sofía Gascón slagged off its star Fernanda Torres on social media. I’m Still Here’s director Walter Salles addresses the controversy and a whole lot more in this interview with the Observer’s Guy Lodge.

One film not in competition tonight is Bong Joon-ho’s new one, Mickey 17, which Warner Bros have shunted from pillar to post over the past year or so. It did finally get a premiere this weekend at the Berlin film festival, and here’s Peter Bradshaw’s positive-ish review.

Wondering what the Beeb is showing instead of the Baftas? At the moment it’s actually a fairly fascinating Countryfile segment on hunt saboteurs. More breaking news as I have it.

One Oscar race that seems all but settled is best supporting actor, where A Real Pain’s Kieran Culkin looks set to be romping home, and is fully expected to triumph in the same category at tonight’s Baftas. For the Observer, Andrew Anthony profiles an actor who has very much escaped the shadow of his once more famous brother.

Angelina Jolie showed in 2014’s Maleficent that the evil fairy was actually well worthy of fashion attention. Zoe Saldaña gives another take on the dramatic neckline – but by combining it with a megawatt smile, she looks too nice to be evil.

The Baftas isn’t the only major award ceremony taking place this weekend. The Writers Guild of America (WGA) had its own ceremony last night, and Anora took home the best original screenplay prize. It’s another big win for Sean Baker’s film, following last weekend’s victories in both the producers and directors guild awards, very much suggesting that it is on a clear path to the Oscar best picture win. But could a Bafta victory for one of Anora’s rivals shake-up the race?

Elsewhere, the WGA gave best adapted screenplay to RaMell Ross’s drama Nickel Boys – nice to see some recognition for a terrific film that looked in danger of being overlooked this awards season. You can read the full list of WGA winners here.

One film likely to pick up nominations at next year’s Baftas is Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy. The fourth instalment of the Renée Zellweger starrer had a bumper weekend at the UK box office, enjoying the biggest ever opening for a romcom. Here’s Catherine Shoard’s new story on Bridge’s big win.

Women have been wearing spaghetti-strapped dresses with tops underneath for a while now. So it’s heartening that the hack has come to the red carpet via Selena Gomez. The addition of sparkling beads and a sweetheart-neckline makes it a bit more dressed up.

Peter Bradshaw, Andrew Pulver and Catherine Shoard have all had a stab at predicting tonight’s results, so here’s my two penn’orth:

Best film Anora

Outstanding British film Conclave

Outstanding debut by a British writer, director or producer Kneecap, Rich Peppiatt (director, writer)

Best film not in the English language Kneecap

Best documentary Super/Man: The Christopher Reeve Story

Best animated film Wallace and Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl

Best children’s & family film Wallace and Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl

Best director Sean Baker, Anora

Best original screenplay Anora

Best adapted screenplay Conclave

Best actress Demi Moore, The Substance

Best actor Timothée Chalamet, A Complete Unknown

Best supporting actress Ariana Grande, Wicked

Best supporting actor Kieran Culkin, A Real Pain

Rising star award Marisa Abela

Gwilym here, taking the reins for the rest of the Bafta festivities. We’re about 10 minutes away from the ceremony kicking off, and two hours and 10 mins away from the TV broadcast, where we’ll actually find out who has won. Strange old way of doing things!

This live blog will be following along with the TV broadcast, but if you do want to know the results ahead of time, here’s our list of winners, which will be updated live as they’re announced in the room. Obviously don’t click if you don’t want spoilers before the TV broadcast!

Meme-worthy fashion is a category all of its own. Ariana Grande’s dress – which looks partly like a giant bow and partly like a particularly exquisite baked good – could be a winner here. Expect to see it on your timeline over the next few hours.

Saoirse Ronan makes a case for aquamarine on the red carpet. Her dress has a neckline that wouldn’t be out of place in your local pool but the luxurious-looking opera coat beats any Dryrobe. The slicked-back hair and red lipstick are great, too.

Demi Moore, who is nominated for best leading actress for her role in The Substance, goes for full-length sequins. A bit like if you turned a stained glass window into a designer frock. A matching bag is a nice touch.

Timothée Chalamet goes relatively understated for the Baftas in a cropped double-breasted jacket, black trousers and sparkly necklace. That’s considering the fact that he recently rode a Lime bike on the red carpet and wore a custom-made Chrome Hearts pink tracksuit with matching boots for the Berlin film festival this weekend.

Mikey Madison is keeping it classy in a white strapless dress, the kind of sparkles that require a bodyguard and even a matching wrap. The actor, nominated for best leading actress for her performance in Anora, could bring back this much-derided item from the fashion doldrums.

The woman playing Miranda Priestly in the stage musical of The Devil Wears Prada was always going to bring good fashion to the red carpet. Vanessa Williams’s green dress – with bow and swingy chiffon sleeves – is playful and classic at the same time. The beauty look – with proper updo and french manicure – works well for someone who was once crowned Miss America.

Is this the first Segway on the red carpet? Unclear. But it works well with Warwick Davis’ very luxurious-looking claret velvet blazer, bow tie and shiny proper shoes.

With an unbuttoned patterned shirt, leather coat and studded gloves, Colman Domingo shows us what menswear could look like on the red carpet. This feels a world away from the average black tux. Other men, please take note.

Pamela Anderson brings some real star power to the red carpet, dressed in all white. The combination of this Gentlemen Prefer Blondes-adjacent outfit of gown and jewels with her natural-look hair and makeup is something wonderful to behold.

More goth-adjacent outfits. Will Sharpe’s black suit, shirt, shoes and sunglasses could be standard for ‘actor on the red carpet’. The black nail polish, however, adds just a hint of Robert Smith-worthy style to the look. Black lipstick is only a matter of time.

Marianne Jean-Baptiste, who is nominated for best leading actress for her role in Mike Leigh’s Hard Truths, goes for understated elegance here. Her long black dress, relatively subtle sparkles and sweet hairstyle is a welcome reprieve from the ultra-glamour usually seen on red carpets.

Eva von Bahr, a makeup artist nominated for her work on Dune: Part Two, is saying something here. It might be about AI, or possibly about the merits of 2004 film I, Robot … it’s unclear. But carrying your phone and keys in a bag shaped like an android’s head is always going to make a statement.

An elegant double-breasted suit is always a good idea – and that’s especially true when it’s in a dark claret and worn with a sparkly brooch, as per Adam Pearson. The extremely shiny shoes are satisfying, too.

Monica Barbaro looks unrecognisable from her turn as Joan Baez in A Complete Unknown – wearing a dress of muted sequins and white sandals. While it might have got some funny looks in Greenwich Village in the 60s, it’s just the right amount of glamour for the red carpet.

Gwendoline Christie continues the goth-approved style with a black satin dress and the kind of hair that would work for Tim Burton’s next film. As an actor who has made her name with more offbeat roles, it’s very on brand.

Lauren Cochrane here, reporting on the red carpet fashion. And what better way to start than Jeff Goldblum? Already a firm favourite in the industry, loved by labels such as Prada, he’s only going to gain more fans with this outfit. Combining the sheen of feathers with a classic tux and – of course – those shades, it’s a pro take on ‘classic with a twist’.

Fancy some further reading? You can find out more about the recipient of this year’s special award for outstanding British contribution to cinema here – they’re a brilliant outfit which builds cinemas in hospitals. Whet your appetite further with titbits about this year’s menu, and study the full list of nominations, plus news on those nods and Peter Bradshaw’s take.

Speaking of Peter, his official predictions are here, Andrew’s here, and mine are below. Please note these are non-legally binding.

Best film Anora
Outstanding British film Conclave
Outstanding debut by a British writer, director or producer Kneecap, Rich Peppiatt (director, writer)
Best film not in the English language I’m Still Here
Best documentary Super/Man: The Christopher Reeve Story
Best animated film Wallace and Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl
Best children’s & family film Wallace and Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl
Best director Brady Corbet, The Brutalist
Best original screenplay A Real Pain
Best adapted screenplay Conclave
Best actress Marianne Jean-Baptiste, Hard Truths
Best actor Ralph Fiennes, Conclave
Best supporting actress Zoe Saldaña, Emilia Pérez
Best supporting actor Kieran Culkin, A Real Pain
Rising star award Mikey Madison

Andrew Pulver has already written out this handy timetable for the evening; consult that for full details, but we’ll be here until 11pm GMT. The ceremony happens in real time between 5-7pm GMT and then it’s on BBC One in the UK, BritBox International in the US and BritBox on demand in Australia between 7-9pm.

We’ll report the news as it happens, but unless something truly momentous happens, we will keep it discreet on this blog, where Gwilym Mumford will be watching the ceremony from 7pm and invites you to join him.

Before then, we’ll have all the frocks and faux pas from the red carpet with Lauren Cochrane as well as non-spoilerific updates from me and Nadia Khomami at the Southbank Centre in London.