Peter Bradshaw 

Peter Bradshaw’s Baftas predictions: which films will triumph – and which will fall?

Can Conclave gather enough votes … will Emilia Pérez survive the controversy? Our lead critic picks what’s on the cards – and what ought to be
  
  

A still from Emilia Pérez, directed by Jacques Audiard.
Emilia Pérez, directed by Jacques Audiard. Photograph: PR

Best film

Will win Conclave
Should win The Brutalist
Shoulda been a contender All We Imagine As Light

Best director

Will win Jacques Audiard for Emilia Pérez
Should win Sean Baker for Anora
Shoulda been a contender Alice Rohrwacher for La Chimera

Outstanding debut by a British writer, director or producer

Will win Kneecap
Should win Sister Midnight
Shoulda been a contender Layla

Best British film

Will win Conclave
Should win Love Lies Bleeding
Shoulda been a contender On Becoming a Guinea Fowl

Best film not in the English language

Will win Emilia Pérez
Should win All We Imagine As Light
Shoulda been a contender The Beast

Best animated film

Will win Wallace and Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl
Should win Wallace and Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl
Shoulda been a contender Memoir of a Snail

Best original screenplay

Will win The Brutalist
Should win A Real Pain
Shoulda been a contender Do Not Expect Too Much From the End of the World

Best adapted screenplay

Will win Conclave
Should win Conclave
Shoulda been a contender Queer

Best leading actor

Will win Ralph Fiennes for Conclave
Should win Timothée Chalamet for A Complete Unknown
Shoulda been a contender Cillian Murphy for Small Things Like These

Best leading actress

Will win Cynthia Erivo for Wicked
Should win Marianne Jean-Baptiste for Hard Truths
Shoulda been a contender Angelina Jolie for Maria

Best supporting actor

Will win Kieran Culkin for A Real Pain
Should win Kieran Culkin for A Real Pain
Shoulda been a contender Tom Hardy for The Bikeriders

Best supporting actress

Will win Ariana Grande for Wicked
Should win Isabella Rossellini for Conclave
Shoulda been a contender Kathy Burke for Blitz

Best original score

Will win Volker Bertelmann for Conclave
Should win Daniel Blumberg for The Brutalist
Shoulda been a contender John Powell and Stephen Schwartz for Wicked

Best cinematography

Will win Stéphane Fontaine for Conclave
Should win Lol Crawley for The Brutalist
Shoulda been a contender Hélène Louvart for La Chimera

Best documentary

Will Win Super/Man: The Christopher Reeve Story
Should win No Other Land
Shoulda been a contender Grand Theft Hamlet

Rising Star award

Will win Marisa Abela
Should win Mikey Madison
Shoulda been a contender Naomi Scott

 

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